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The Governance, Peace and Security (GPS) Unit at the Secretariat has developed the COMESA Peace and Prosperity Index (CPPI) which will be used to track structural factors to peace and prosperity in the 19 Member States. The Index offers a timely diagnosis of forecasted structural drivers associated with future peace and prosperity.

Uganda was the first Member State to host a workshop on the country-specific consultations on CPPI forecasted drivers for 2018. Policy makers, technical officials drawn from the Office of the President, Office of the Prime Minister, Ministry of Foreign Affairs, Ministry of Internal Affairs and Ministry of Defence, Civil Society Organisations as well as the private sector met in Kampala from 11 – 16 December 2017 to review the key forecasted structural drivers for Uganda that were forecasted by the COMESA Early Warning System (COMWARN) Structural Vulnerability Assessment model. The multi-stakeholders’ consultative forum was convened in response to a Decision of the 15th Meeting of the COMESA Ministers of Foreign Affairs, that was held in Antananarivo in October 2016.

The COMWARN team who developed the CPPI in collaboration with the African Union Continental Early Warning System (AU-CEWS) were at hand to deliberate on the steps Uganda is taking to address the forecasted CPPI drivers and identify practical response options. The meeting committed to the establishment of a national structure that will support the dissemination of SVA results and support response mechanism. A Steering and Technical Committee that will oversee the implementation of the response option for the CPPI drivers will also be established. The proposed Committee will help in the dissemination of the CPPI forecasted drivers to a wider range of stakeholders at the lower levels as well as assist in the development of structured partnerships with other stakeholders to ensure that the CPPI outputs are implemented.

In addition to the establishment of structures to accelerate the implementation of response options from COMWARN, Uganda stakeholders also committed to formally request the AU Commission to provide the necessary facilitation to conduct a Structural Vulnerability and Resilience Assessment (CSVMS) and the Structural Vulnerability Mitigation Strategy (CSVMS). This is a voluntary mechanism which has so far attracted the participation of Ghana. Once Uganda makes a formal request, AU and COMESA will assist the Ministry of Foreign Affairs to establish a Situation Room.

One of the key challenges that faces early warning systems is the linkage between early warning and early response and therefore the outcomes of the Uganda multi-stakeholders consultative workshop was seen as a very important move towards bridging the gap between early warning and early response.